Author: Matt B

There’s only one game to go! Here’s where things stand as of now:

Attentive readers may have noticed that one of our Head Coaches changed his or her team name. Why would one change from “Victory is Assured” to “Victory is Not Assured?” Maybe some other charts can help answer that question.

Here are the scores for this week (Conference Championships) only:

Here are the multipliers going into the Superbowl:

Hmm, Victory has a good multiplier, but not the best.  Look who does have the best – a familiar name.

Here are the predicted final scores, using the DPSBPM (doughnut party super bowl prediction model):

 

Interesting…

If you want to check out the data yourself, click here.

 

The divisional games have been played, and the Doughnut Party leaderboard has been turned upside down, as usually happens at this point in the competition.  Here are the overall results as of now:

Here are the results if we look only at this weekend’s games:

A key to victory in this league is selecting players who are on teams that win, so that your multiplier goes up.  So looking ahead to next week, here’s the average multiplier that each team will have:

The maxium you can have is 3.0: that would mean that all of your players were already at 2x multiplier in the Divisional round, and they were all on teams that won.  The lowest possible multiplier is 1.0.

It may not take an advanced degree in Footballology to interpret these results… but I look forward to hearing what the Dr. has to say nonetheless.

If you want to check out the data yourself, click here.

 

Here is some interesting data from wildcard weekend. Well, some of you might find it interesting anyway.

First, the leaderboard.  There is a clear leader.

But, many of the teams had bye players.  Here’s how many bye players each team had:

So to see who made the best choices regarding players who actually were on teams that played in a wildcard game, we can look at points per player who played.  Here again, we have a clear leader (but not the same one).

Last, here’s a plot of total points vs. number of bye players.  Not surprisingly, it is pretty linear.  If you are below the line, you did worse than average.  If you are above the line, you did better.  That dot with the red circle around it is Joe Roth, who had the highest score per player played in the wildcard round.

If you want to check out the data yourself, click here.