Doughnut Party Champion LI: titleixforce! Head Coach Jennifer C.

Way back in Doughnut Party Season XLV, titleixforce missed the championship by the thinnest possible margin. And that’s not just sportswriter hyperbole; after leading the competition for the entire playoffs, she ended up losing to Slim Sadies Sly Superbowlers (Head Coach Julie S.) but exactly 1 point. 611 to 612. That had to hurt.

So this year’s victory must be especially sweet for titleixforce Head Coach Jennifer C. Her teams are always tough. She has placed 7th or higher in 5 of the past 7 seasons. But somehow the Dougball always evaded her—until now. This year, with a lineup that was unchanged from wildcard weekend through the Superbowl, she emerged on top.

Congratulations titleixforce!  And congratulations also to 2nd place finisher Hijo de Sanford y Hijo, who had the highest Superbowl score in the league (318 points vs. titleixforce’s 300) and almost pulled of an upset victory.

Thank you everyone for playing. Get some rest in the offseason, give those mouse-button muscles time to heal, and see you next year!

Conference Championships 2017

Apparently my offer of “thanks for your cooperation,” which attentive readers will recall from last week, was premature. Because no teams with uniforms that include the color yellow were victorious last week (or held a lead at any point in time).

So with melancholy hearts, we bid adieu to the Packers and Steelers.

The impact on the Doughnut Party leader board was dramatic:

But, look who is leading the way now: titleixforce!  I must say that it is deeply gratifying in this new era to see the champion of fairness and equality at the top of the list. Congratulations titleixforce. You rocketed from 14th place to 1st in one game. And with 611 points and a Superbowl roster 100% filled with 4x players, the future looks bright.

The teams currently in second and third are almost tied: Hijo de Sanford y Hijo (583) and
Turquoise Ocean 34 (582).  Nice work! son of son of sanford and son is also close with an impressive 574.

Here’s a line chart that shows the history so far:

Thank you everyone, good luck in two weeks, and I hope to see you at the Award Ceremony on Saturday Feb 18!

Divisional Weekend 2017

There were some exciting games last weekend (at least on Sunday), and here’s where the Doughnut Party Leaderboard stands now:

With 374 points, outofthefryingpan has a solid 71 point lead over current runner up bluewalls picks. Is that a big lead? It looks like one now, but if the Packers and Steelers don’t win this weekend it could turn out to be pretty meaningless. So outofthefryingpan respectfully requests that you cheer only for players in uniforms that include the color yellow this Sunday. Thank you for your cooperation.

Side note: outofthefryingpan is now in 8th place among all participants in the NFL Playoff Challenge. Out of hundreds of thousands of participants, only 7 have a higher score. There are 39 other teams tied for 8th, so outofthefryingpan is among the top 50 teams in the world. For perspective, the next best team in the doughnut party, bluewalls picks, is in 29,302nd place. I think this is the highest national ranking any Doughnut Party team has achieved so far.

Thank you all for playing, don’t forget to update your lineups,  and good luck on Sunday!

 

Wildcard Weekend 2017

Well, the Doughnut Party is off to a late start this year, but that does not mean that the competition is any less fervent than ever. Here’s where we stand after the first week:

Isn’t it nice to see outofthefryingpan on top of the leaderboard? I think so. But he or she should not get too comfortable, as wildcard weekend scores really don’t mean much. Many of our teams have “bye players,” meaning players on teams that did not play in the wildcard round. Those bye players couldn’t contribute to this week’s score, but they are queued up for 2X damage next week.

Here’s how many bye players each of the DP coaches deployed last weekend:

You can see that two of our teams, the DONs and titleixforce, went for 100% bye players. And five teams used none, including this week’s point leader and runner up. If you think you are seeing a correlation between points and the number of bye players, you may be onto something:

In general, the fewer bye players a team had, the more points they scored. This is due to the subtle principle known as “ONLY PLAYERS WHO ACTUALLY PLAY CAN SCORE POINTS.”

We have one last chart for you. This shows how many points each team scored per player played. Meaning, if you had 4 bye players and 4 players who played last week, what what your average score just for the players who actually played in the wildcard round? I’m glad you asked:

In general, this is a good indication of which coaches are good at picking players who rack up points.  I see a lot of familiar names at the top of this list… and some new names too.

Thank you all for playing and good luck next week!

 

Doughnut Party Champion L: Victory is Not Assured!

Head Coach Kevin C.

Former head coach of Club DNA is back on top with a new team, Victory is Not Assured. He edged out pitchfork76er’s, our predicted champion, in a low-scoring Superbowl that had little impact on the leaderboard.

This halts Omshine’s streak at three championships. But it also means that we have had only two winning head coaches in the past 5 years.  C’mon rookies, time to step up!

Here’s how it all ended up:

2016 super bowl final bar chart

2016 super bowl final line chart

See you all next year!

Written by Comments Off on Doughnut Party Champion L: Victory is Not Assured! Posted in Uncategorized

Superbowl L Doughnut Party Cheat Sheet

The Superbowl is in just a few hours, and to give you something to look for in between the commercials, here’s a cheat sheet on the players who could make the difference in the Doughnut Party.

First let’s look at the current top 4 teams in our league:

2016 top 4

See above for each team’s multiplier going into the Superbowl, current points, and predicted final points according to the DPSBPM (Doughnut Party Superbowl Prediction Model).

Here are the players who could be the difference-makers for these teams:

pitchfork76er’s picks: CJ ANDERSON.  He’s got him at 4x, and no one else in the top 4 has him.

The Sneaky Llliiizzzaaarrrddd!!!: DEVIN FUNCHESS at 3x, no one else has him.

Victory Is Not Assured: does not have any unique players.  But, he or she does have the most points… for now.

Awkwardo: MIKE TOLBERT and COREY BROWN- only at 2x, but no one else has either player.  Also, TED GINN at 4x; pitchfork’s got him, but only at 2x.

Just because of past history, and because he has the highest multiplier in the league (26x), I also took a look at ominousunshine. He only has 459 points at the moment, but he has some potential breakout players that don’t appear on the rosters of the top 4: DEMARYIUS THOMAS 3x; EMMANUAL SANDERS 2x.

All 5 of these teams have CAM NEWTON and PANTHER’S D, so those are not going to be the deciding factors.

Good luck everyone!

Written by Comments Off on Superbowl L Doughnut Party Cheat Sheet Posted in Uncategorized

Conference Championship Results 2016

There’s only one game to go! Here’s where things stand as of now:

2016 conference bar chart overall

Attentive readers may have noticed that one of our Head Coaches changed his or her team name. Why would one change from “Victory is Assured” to “Victory is Not Assured?” Maybe some other charts can help answer that question.

Here are the scores for this week (Conference Championships) only:

2016 conference week only

Here are the multipliers going into the Superbowl:

2016 super bowl multiplier fixed

Hmm, Victory has a good multiplier, but not the best.  Look who does have the best – a familiar name.

Here are the predicted final scores, using the DPSBPM (doughnut party super bowl prediction model):

2016 Predicted Final Score fixed

 

Interesting…

If you want to check out the data yourself, click here.

Divisional Weekend Results 2016

 

The divisional games have been played, and the Doughnut Party leaderboard has been turned upside down, as usually happens at this point in the competition.  Here are the overall results as of now:

2016 divisional weekend bar chart

Here are the results if we look only at this weekend’s games:

Doughnut Party 2014 divisional weekend weekly

A key to victory in this league is selecting players who are on teams that win, so that your multiplier goes up.  So looking ahead to next week, here’s the average multiplier that each team will have:

2016 Conference Multiplier by Player

The maxium you can have is 3.0: that would mean that all of your players were already at 2x multiplier in the Divisional round, and they were all on teams that won.  The lowest possible multiplier is 1.0.

It may not take an advanced degree in Footballology to interpret these results… but I look forward to hearing what the Dr. has to say nonetheless.

If you want to check out the data yourself, click here.